Risky Ticker · SIM desk sheet

Hormuz Attrition

Insurance premia and slow steaming around the Strait — not a closure headline, a grind.

Heat three / cold three. Mechanism, not a thesis. Names sit in the tape. Not a target list.

Heat — loud book

Energy · 92 · Strait of Hormuz

Direct barrel / services / LNG cover tied to Gulf fixtures and war-risk.

Stale if Strait of Hormuz drops out of the political tape by Friday.

Financials · 78 · London / Lloyd's war-risk desk

War-risk, hull, and trade-finance desks — London more than the Gulf itself.

Stale if London / Lloyd's war-risk desk drops out of the political tape by Friday.

Industrials · 74 · Jebel Ali transshipment

Transshipment and project cargo delayed; defense names as second-order.

Stale if Jebel Ali transshipment drops out of the political tape by Friday.

Cold — quiet sleeve

Materials · 56 · US Gulf Coast chemicals, quiet book

US coatings, gases, aggregates — political beta near zero, cyclical beta not.

Stale if political-event risk shows up in US Gulf Coast chemicals, quiet book by Friday.

Consumer Discretionary · 58 · US off-price + QSR domestic

US off-price, QSR, home centers. Footfall, not freight.

Stale if political-event risk shows up in US off-price + QSR domestic by Friday.

Industrials · 60 · US domestic rail / waste

US rail, waste, domestic aero. No lockage number on the blotter.

Stale if political-event risk shows up in US domestic rail / waste by Friday.

Names in this tape

Not a target list. Direct / second-order / residual / baseline.

  • CVX · Chevron · Direct
  • COP · ConocoPhillips · Direct
  • SLB · Schlumberger · SecondOrder
  • HAL · Halliburton · SecondOrder
  • EOG · EOG Resources · SecondOrder
  • MPC · Marathon Petroleum · Residual
  • VLO · Valero · Residual
  • OXY · Occidental · Residual

Desk drill

PM sizes risk and names a max ADV%. Trader works the print against arrival, not last. Ops watches prime margin and fails.

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Names sit in the tape. Not a target list. Not investment advice.